When Markets Shake, Attention Turns Back to Property

Category: ,

Equity markets have had a rough run of late. Big daily swings, geopolitical noise, interest rate uncertainty and policy changes have made even seasoned investors feel a little uneasy. Volatility is back in fashion, and not the good kind.

At the same time, tax settings are tightening. Capital gains and bracket creep are quietly eroding after tax returns. For many investors, the question is no longer “what can I make?” but “what do I actually keep?”

It’s no surprise that in periods like this, attention starts drifting back toward housing.

The phrase “safe as houses” exists for a reason. Property is not immune to cycles, but it behaves very differently to shares. Prices do not reprice every minute. You are not watching red and green arrows flicker across a screen. Value moves more slowly, and for many people that alone has real worth.

Housing also sits at the intersection of necessity and investment. People always need somewhere to live. Population growth, lifestyle shifts, and constrained land supply in established suburbs continue to underpin demand, particularly in coastal and inner city markets. Even when sentiment softens, activity rarely disappears altogether.

From a tax perspective, residential property still offers features that many investors find compelling. Rental income is tangible and predictable. Expenses are transparent. Long term holders can benefit from capital growth while managing tax outcomes along the way. It is not flashy, but it is understandable, and that matters when confidence elsewhere is thin.

There is also a psychological element that should not be underestimated. Investors are human. When markets feel chaotic, people gravitate toward assets they can see, touch, and understand. A house you can walk through feels very different to a line on a portfolio statement. That sense of control becomes more valuable during uncertain periods.

None of this suggests that property is risk free. Prices can stagnate, costs rise, and poor buying decisions still get punished. But compared to the daily noise of equity markets, housing often feels steadier, more familiar, and easier to hold through the cycle.

When volatility increases and taxes bite harder, simplicity tends to win. For many, that brings the conversation back to bricks, mortar, and the quiet appeal of an asset that has stood the test of time.

Safe as houses might sound old fashioned. Right now, it feels very current.

7 Things I’m Watching

Interest Rates & Capital

What’s happening
One increase in Rates thus far with more expected
Why it matters
Buyers getting lower principal amounts with reduced serviceability
Market impact
⬇️ Downward pressure on prices

Population

What’s happening
Increasing
Why it matters
More people = more housing demand.
Market impact
⬆️ Upward pressure on prices

Employment

What’s happening
National employment remains strong, with WA leading the charge.
Why it matters
Job security underpins buyer confidence.
Market impact
⬆️ Upward pressure on prices

Building

What’s happening
Still below long term approvals and completion, some increase in apartments in Eastern States
Why it matters
Increased demand for established property
Market impact
⬆️ Upward pressure on prices

Stock

What’s happening
Listing supply remains tight. Record low supply continues
Why it matters
Owners are sitting and waiting for the right property. They want to move, but can’t find the right place
Market impact
🔥 Intense competition for quality homes

Investment Properties

What’s happening
Rents in Perth continue to outpace national growth and investment lending has increased significantly.
Why it matters
Rental demand remains strong due to population growth.
Market impact
⬆️ Upward pressure on prices, particularly for high-yield properties

Government – Intervening as always!

What’s happening
First Home Buyer Guarantee schemes continue, to push the pace of entry level properties
Why it matters
Substantial demand on sub $850,000 properties
Possibly flooding the market with supply of development sites
Market impact
⬆️ Powerful upward pressure on prices
⬇️ Possibly downward pressure on development values